Probability theory can be interpreted as a system of rules for coherent behaviour in un uncertain environment. Bayes’ theorem is a rule for making educated guesses and learning from experience, and it is a fundamental tool of scientific reasoning. The odds form of the theorem offers a way of measuring the relative weight of support given by evidence to alternative hypotheses that fits very well with the main task of forensic science.
The reasoning rules of (forensic) science
GARBOLINO, PAOLO
2015-01-01
Abstract
Probability theory can be interpreted as a system of rules for coherent behaviour in un uncertain environment. Bayes’ theorem is a rule for making educated guesses and learning from experience, and it is a fundamental tool of scientific reasoning. The odds form of the theorem offers a way of measuring the relative weight of support given by evidence to alternative hypotheses that fits very well with the main task of forensic science.File in questo prodotto:
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2016 THE REASONING RULES OF (FORENSIC) SCIENCE.pdf
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